88 resources found

Tags: Models

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  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Disparate Groundwater Responses to Wildfire

    This paper synthesizes the disparate groundwater responses to wildfire, noting that post-fire effects range from significant increases to decreases in water fluxes like recharge and baseflow. The authors evaluate this variability across five primary ...
    This paper synthesizes the disparate groundwater responses to wildfire, noting that post-fire effects range from significant increases to decreases in water fluxes like recharge and baseflow. The authors evaluate this variability across five primary categories: climate, vegetation, hydrogeology, fire characteristics, and the cryosphere, focusing on both short-term and intermediate recovery periods. A critical finding is that post-wildfire responses often align with hydroclimatic settings where water input and evaporative demand are out of sync, while the pre-wildfire groundwater regime significantly influences the expected outcome and recovery trajectory. This paper provides a collection of testable hypotheses and identifies key areas, particularly the influence of snow dynamics and cryospheric processes, for future monitoring and modeling efforts to improve the prediction of groundwater recovery after fires.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Wildfire Facilitates Upslope Advance in a Shade-Intolerant but not a Shade-Tolerant Conifer

    This paper investigates how wildfires influence the upward migration of tree species in California's subalpine forests, a phenomenon often linked to climate change. Researchers examined post-fire tree regeneration across various fire severities, focu...
    This paper investigates how wildfires influence the upward migration of tree species in California's subalpine forests, a phenomenon often linked to climate change. Researchers examined post-fire tree regeneration across various fire severities, focusing on the contrasting responses of shade-tolerant and shade-intolerant conifer species. While overall montane species regeneration decreased in burned areas, shade-intolerant Jeffrey pine showed increased success in severely burned plots, aligning with predictions of higher climatic suitability. Conversely, shade-tolerant red fir regeneration declined significantly with higher fire severity, suggesting that the specific regeneration niche of a species, its ideal post-fire conditions, is critical in determining whether fire facilitates or hinders its range expansion.
  • Guidance Document

    Thinning Guidance for British Columbia

    This document serves as a comprehensive manual for forest professionals, outlining best practices for thinning operations effective April 2025. Its primary purpose is to support sustainable forest management by providing science-based guidelines for ...
    This document serves as a comprehensive manual for forest professionals, outlining best practices for thinning operations effective April 2025. Its primary purpose is to support sustainable forest management by providing science-based guidelines for developing and implementing thinning prescriptions, particularly for enhancing timber production and quality. The guidance emphasizes maintaining ecological and social objectives while focusing on operational efficiency, minimizing environmental impacts, and promoting innovative approaches. It also details the required data collection and monitoring processes to ensure the effectiveness and compliance of thinning activities, thereby fostering healthy, resilient forest ecosystems across British Columbia.
  • Extension Note

    Equivalent Clearcut Area as an Indicator of Hydrologic Change in Snow-dominated Watersheds of Southern British Columbia

    This extension note introduces Equivalent Clearcut Area, a metric used to assess the potential impact of forest disturbances, like logging or fires, on watershed hydrology in snow-dominated regions of British Columbia. The document explains how ECA i...
    This extension note introduces Equivalent Clearcut Area, a metric used to assess the potential impact of forest disturbances, like logging or fires, on watershed hydrology in snow-dominated regions of British Columbia. The document explains how ECA is calculated by accounting for the area disturbed and the subsequent forest regrowth, which influences water interception, evaporation, and transpiration. It details the historical development and application of ECA in forest management planning, highlighting its use as an indicator for potential changes in streamflow and peak flow events. While acknowledging ECA's utility as a simplified tool for risk assessment and comparing management options, the note also stresses its limitations, emphasizing that it should not be used as a stand-alone metric due to the complex and variable nature of watershed responses to disturbance.
  • Extension Note

    Modelling Forest Harvesting Effects on Maximum Daily Peak Flow at Upper Penticton Creek

    This research models the impact of forest harvesting on peak streamflows in a small, snow-dominated watershed in British Columbia. Using a sophisticated hydrological model, the study simulated various clearcutting scenarios to understand how the remo...
    This research models the impact of forest harvesting on peak streamflows in a small, snow-dominated watershed in British Columbia. Using a sophisticated hydrological model, the study simulated various clearcutting scenarios to understand how the removal of forest cover influences the magnitude and frequency of high flow events. The findings indicate that forest harvesting consistently increases peak flows, with larger, less frequent events showing a more significant response, though the predicted increases were less than 50% even with complete forest removal. The study highlights the importance of watershed characteristics like topography and size in determining the extent of these changes and emphasizes the ongoing need for research to improve water resource management in forested areas.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Diversifying Managed Forests to Increase Resilience

    This paper investigates how diversifying managed forests in British Columbia could enhance their ability to recover from disturbances, specifically a recent mountain pine beetle epidemic linked to climate change. The authors used computer simulations...
    This paper investigates how diversifying managed forests in British Columbia could enhance their ability to recover from disturbances, specifically a recent mountain pine beetle epidemic linked to climate change. The authors used computer simulations to compare different forest management strategies over an 80-year period, assessing their impact on ecological resilience, timber supply, and economic outcomes. Their findings suggest that a strategy focused on proactively harvesting dominant, susceptible tree species and promoting a greater variety of planted and naturally regenerating trees leads to improved forest health, higher long-term harvest rates, and more stable economic returns without compromising economic viability. The study advocates for incorporating diversification as a key approach to increasing the resilience of managed forests in the face of future environmental challenges.
  • Technical Report

    A Field Guide to Predict Delayed Mortility of Fire - Damaged Ponderosa Pine Application and Validation of Malheur Model

    This technical report presents a field guide based on the Malheur model, a tool developed to predict the probability of delayed mortality in fire-damaged ponderosa pine trees. The report details the application and validation of this model, which use...
    This technical report presents a field guide based on the Malheur model, a tool developed to predict the probability of delayed mortality in fire-damaged ponderosa pine trees. The report details the application and validation of this model, which uses observable characteristics like bole and crown scorch to estimate mortality risk via a user-friendly graph. Findings from validation studies across different locations and fire types suggest the model offers a reliable way for land managers to assess post-fire tree survival for various management objectives, including evaluating burn success and planning post-fire activities.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Managing Forest Carbon and Landscape Capacities

    This paper investigates how to better integrate forest carbon management into overall forest resource planning. The authors developed a novel modeling system that combines forest disturbance, management activities, and carbon dynamics to estimate bot...
    This paper investigates how to better integrate forest carbon management into overall forest resource planning. The authors developed a novel modeling system that combines forest disturbance, management activities, and carbon dynamics to estimate both the current carbon stocks and the natural carbon-holding capacity of a forest landscape in British Columbia, Canada. By comparing these estimates under different harvesting scenarios, the study provides a framework and essential information for implementing nature-based climate change mitigation strategies in forest ecosystems. This paper aims to bridge the gap between traditional forest management and informed carbon management.
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