88 resources found

Tags: Models

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  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Recent Crown Thinning in a Boreal Black Spruce Forest Does Not Reduce Spread Rate nor Total Fuel Consumption - Results from an Experimental Crown Fire in Alberta, Canada

    This paper details an experimental crown fire conducted in an Alberta, Canada, boreal black spruce forest to assess the effectiveness of recent crown thinning as a fuel treatment. Researchers ignited a 3. 6-hectare fire, observing its behavior in bot...
    This paper details an experimental crown fire conducted in an Alberta, Canada, boreal black spruce forest to assess the effectiveness of recent crown thinning as a fuel treatment. Researchers ignited a 3. 6-hectare fire, observing its behavior in both untreated and thinned sections. The key finding was that while thinning led to a significant reduction in fire intensity, it did not reduce the fire's spread rate nor total fuel consumption. This suggests that in dense boreal black spruce with high surface fuel loads and low crown base heights, thinning alone may not prevent the rapid progression of crown fires, but it could potentially aid suppression efforts by reducing the intensity.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Operational Resilience in Western US Frequent-Fire Forests

    This paper explores operational resilience in western U. S. frequent-fire forests, emphasizing how historical forest structures fostered health and adaptability. The authors argue that very low tree densities prior to widespread fire suppression mini...
    This paper explores operational resilience in western U. S. frequent-fire forests, emphasizing how historical forest structures fostered health and adaptability. The authors argue that very low tree densities prior to widespread fire suppression minimized competition, which in turn supported vigorous tree growth and greater resistance to stressors like drought and bark beetles. By comparing historical data with contemporary forest conditions using the Stand Density Index, the authors found a significant increase in tree density and competition today. This sugests that current management practices, which are focused primarily on fuel reduction, may not adequately restore the ecological resilience historically maintained by frequent, low-intensity fires. The paper advocates for a fundamental rethinking of forest management to prioritize significantly lower tree densities and minimal competition to enhance long-term forest health.
  • Technical Report

    Assessing Post-Fire Douglas-fir Mortality and Douglas-fir Beetle Attacks in the Northern Rocky Mountains

    This report presents models to predict the likelihood of Douglas-fir mortality and bark beetle infestation following wildfires. The authors developed these tools using data from past fires in Montana and Wyoming, aiming to improve both pre-fire plann...
    This report presents models to predict the likelihood of Douglas-fir mortality and bark beetle infestation following wildfires. The authors developed these tools using data from past fires in Montana and Wyoming, aiming to improve both pre-fire planning and post-fire management decisions. The report details the significant variables influencing tree survival and beetle attacks, such as crown scorch and cambium damage, and includes a supplementary field guide with visual aids and methods for field data collection, providing a practical resource for forest managers.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Forest Health and Climate Change - A British Columbia Perspective

    This paper examines the complex relationship between forest health and climate change from a British Columbia perspective, building on the impact of past events like the mountain pine beetle and Dothistroma needle blight epidemics. The authors presen...
    This paper examines the complex relationship between forest health and climate change from a British Columbia perspective, building on the impact of past events like the mountain pine beetle and Dothistroma needle blight epidemics. The authors present estimations of how various forest pests are expected to behave as climate continues to change, emphasizing that rapid environmental shifts are favoring fast-reproducing pests over long-lived trees. The research offers management recommendations aimed at increasing forest resilience, such as implementing assisted migration and genetic diversity, while stressing that the future of forest management requires flexibility and adaptation in the face of unprecedented uncertainty. The purpose of this paper is to equip managers with projections for the near future and emphasize the urgency of integrating proactive forest health measures into all aspects of land-use planning.
  • Technical Report

    Effects of Forest Management on Water Resources in Canada - A Research Review

    This document synthesizes findings from over 25 Canadian research watersheds to examine the highly variable impacts of forest management on water resources. It emphasizes that factors like topography, subsurface geology, climate, and forest type sign...
    This document synthesizes findings from over 25 Canadian research watersheds to examine the highly variable impacts of forest management on water resources. It emphasizes that factors like topography, subsurface geology, climate, and forest type significantly influence these effects, making direct knowledge transfer between regions challenging. The document highlights the importance of conservation measures like riparian buffers, which, while generally effective, require tailoring to local conditions. It emphasizes the need for future research to identify critical processes that mediate forestry's effects on water, integrating both large-scale watershed-level studies and detailed stand-level investigations to improve the transferability of findings for sustainable forestry practices.
  • Webinar

    Integrating Biomass Supply Scenarios and Advancing Open Systems for Cumulative Effects Management

    This webinar introduces a new approach to managing the forest-based bioeconomy by challenging the assumptions about biomass supply availability for emerging industries. Dr. Greg Parody details his work on developing integrated open-source modeling fr...
    This webinar introduces a new approach to managing the forest-based bioeconomy by challenging the assumptions about biomass supply availability for emerging industries. Dr. Greg Parody details his work on developing integrated open-source modeling frameworks, such as the Candies project, which link robust forest estate models with spatial ecological simulations to move beyond isolated planning. The core objective is advancing open modeling for cumulative effects by including industrial supply chain behavior, ensuring that Annual Allowable Cut projections are grounded in market realities and logistics. The work demonstrates that evaluating the sustainability of forest activities, particularly regarding climate change mitigation, depends entirely on what happens to the logs afterward and the subsequent displacement of other materials.
  • Case Study Guidance Document

    Stand Density Management Diagrams for Lodgepole Pine White Spruce and Interior Douglas-fir

    This document introduces specialized Stand Density Management Diagrams to assist forest managers in British Columbia with planning the optimal growth and yield of even-aged stands of lodgepole pine, white spruce, and interior Douglas-fir. These grap...
    This document introduces specialized Stand Density Management Diagrams to assist forest managers in British Columbia with planning the optimal growth and yield of even-aged stands of lodgepole pine, white spruce, and interior Douglas-fir. These graphical tools function by depicting the temporal relationships among forest metrics, including stand density, top height, and mean tree volume, derived from the TASS growth simulation model. Silviculturists can use the SDMDs to visualize various growth paths, determine the optimal timing and intensity of thinnings, and make preliminary yield estimations for different management objectives. The diagrams map out the Zone of Imminent Competition Mortality and the density range for maximizing Current Annual Increment, providing essential information for maximizing timber production while minimizing losses.
  • Guidance Document

    Wildland Urban Interface Wildfire Risk Reduction Plan

    This document establishes a consistent provincial approach for fuel management planning in British Columbia. The primary purpose of this document is to direct forest professionals in developing Wildfire Risk Reduction Plans, which strategically iden...
    This document establishes a consistent provincial approach for fuel management planning in British Columbia. The primary purpose of this document is to direct forest professionals in developing Wildfire Risk Reduction Plans, which strategically identify and prioritize areas for fuel management projects on Provincial Crown land adjacent to communities. The plan outlines a phased WRR Plan Development Process, moving from data collection and risk analysis to the delineation of planning units, such as Wildfire Risk Reduction Units, and the smallest operational-scale Fuel Management Units, with an emphasis on total-chance planning to ensure community resiliency by reducing wildfire intensity and increasing suppression opportunities. The successful execution of a WRR Plan requires extensive collaboration and coordination among various stakeholders, including the BC Wildfire Service, land managers, and Indigenous Nations.
  • Decision Aid Guidance Document

    Developing Stand Density Management Regimes

    This document outlines a structured decision-making process for stand density management in forestry, emphasizing biological, economic, and forest-level considerations. It delves into the biological responses of timber production to various density m...
    This document outlines a structured decision-making process for stand density management in forestry, emphasizing biological, economic, and forest-level considerations. It delves into the biological responses of timber production to various density management practices like pre-commercial and commercial thinning, explaining how these treatments impact factors such as yield, timber quality, and tree size. The document also details the economic principles necessary for evaluating the financial viability of such interventions, including cost analysis and future value predictions. Finally, it stresses the importance of aligning stand-level decisions with broader forest-level objectives and introduces various decision support tools and analytical techniques, like sensitivity analysis, to aid in complex forestry planning.
  • Extension Note

    Recent Changes in Aboveground Live-Tree Carbon in Spruce and Fir-Dominated Sub-Boreal Forests in the BC Interior

    This extension note investigates recent changes in aboveground live-tree carbon within spruce and fir-dominated sub-boreal forests in the interior of British Columbia. The study specifically re-evaluated carbon stocks between 20032004 and 2018 at the...
    This extension note investigates recent changes in aboveground live-tree carbon within spruce and fir-dominated sub-boreal forests in the interior of British Columbia. The study specifically re-evaluated carbon stocks between 20032004 and 2018 at the Aleza Lake Research Forest to understand how carbon storage is impacted by tree species and size. The authors found that while younger forest stands generally accumulated carbon, older stands with larger trees showed a decline in aboveground live-tree carbon, largely due to increased mortality of these large trees. This highlights a critical concern regarding the role of mature forests in carbon sequestration amidst accelerating climate change and increasing tree mortality rates.
  • Webinar

    Can Landscape Fuel Treatments Enhance Both Protection and Resource Management Objectives

    This webinar presents results from a simulation study of north-central New Mexico that investigated the relative effectiveness of a variety of fuel treatment strategies and the tradeoffs of implementing fuels programs with competing management goals....
    This webinar presents results from a simulation study of north-central New Mexico that investigated the relative effectiveness of a variety of fuel treatment strategies and the tradeoffs of implementing fuels programs with competing management goals.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Dead and Down Woody Debris Fuel Loads in Canadian Forests

    This research compiles and analyzes a national database of dead and down woody debris to improve fire behavior and effects modeling in Canadian forests. The study emphasizes that DWD is a major component of surface fuels, significantly impacting fir...
    This research compiles and analyzes a national database of dead and down woody debris to improve fire behavior and effects modeling in Canadian forests. The study emphasizes that DWD is a major component of surface fuels, significantly impacting fire intensity, consumption, and the transition to crown fires. By examining various forest types and ecozones, the authors identified key predictive variables such as bioclimatic regime, age, and structural components. This work provides crucial tools for a more accurate understanding of DWD distribution across Canada, enhancing the country's ability to forecast and manage wildfires.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    An Old Growth Index for Douglas-fir Stands in Portions of the Interior Douglas-fir Zone Central British Columbia

    This report introduces a quantitative old-growth index specifically designed for Douglas-fir forests in central British Columbia's Interior Douglas-fir zone, particularly in the IDF_dk_3 and IDF_dk_4 biogeoclimatic variants. Recognizing that traditi...
    This report introduces a quantitative old-growth index specifically designed for Douglas-fir forests in central British Columbia's Interior Douglas-fir zone, particularly in the IDF_dk_3 and IDF_dk_4 biogeoclimatic variants. Recognizing that traditional age-based definitions of old growth are insufficient for forests frequently impacted by disturbances, the authors developed an index based on measurable structural attributes like tree size, canopy complexity, and the presence of dead trees. This index aims to provide forest managers with a consistent tool to identify and classify old-growth stands into four seral stages, helping guide management practices for biodiversity conservation and the enhancement of old-growth characteristics. The study emphasizes that this index relies on expert professional judgment to quantify what constitutes old-growth attributes in these specific forest types.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    An Index for Tracking Old Growth Value in Disturbance-Prone Forest Landscapes

    This document introduces an innovative old-growth index developed to accurately measure and track the ecological value of forests, especially those prone to disturbances. Moving beyond traditional age-based definitions, the researchers used Aerial La...
    This document introduces an innovative old-growth index developed to accurately measure and track the ecological value of forests, especially those prone to disturbances. Moving beyond traditional age-based definitions, the researchers used Aerial Laser Scanning (ALS) and field data to create a more comprehensive metric that considers diverse structural attributes like tree size, deadwood, and canopy complexity. The study's application in British Columbia's Chinook Community Forest revealed that "very-high" old-growth value forests are scarce and fragmented, often located outside designated protected areas. This research provides a flexible and robust framework for forest managers to better conserve and monitor these vital ecosystems and their services, aiding in more effective landscape-level planning.
  • Extension Note

    Considerations for Rehabilitating Naturally Disturbed Stands Part 2 Stand Level Treatments and Hydrological Equivalent Clearcut Area

    This extension note focuses on the hydrological equivalent clearcut area as a tool for managing forests in British Columbia that have been affected by natural disturbances like mountain pine beetle infestations. It explores how different stand-level...
    This extension note focuses on the hydrological equivalent clearcut area as a tool for managing forests in British Columbia that have been affected by natural disturbances like mountain pine beetle infestations. It explores how different stand-level treatments, such as salvaging timber and replanting, can influence ECA over time compared to leaving stands unsalvaged. The author examines the contributions of various stand components-including surviving trees, dead snags, and regeneration-to ECA and compares the cumulative hydrological effects of different management strategies using ECA years. The document provides a decision framework to help forest managers consider hydrological values, especially when detailed assessments aren't possible, while also acknowledging other important ecological and economic factors in rehabilitation decisions.
  • Training

    Forest Carbon Management Certificate

    The Forest Carbon Management micro-certificate is designed for professionals in natural resource sectors. It provides foundational knowledge in forest carbon accounting, data analysis, project development, and market navigation. Through real-world ca...
    The Forest Carbon Management micro-certificate is designed for professionals in natural resource sectors. It provides foundational knowledge in forest carbon accounting, data analysis, project development, and market navigation. Through real-world case studies and applied learning, participants will gain practical skills to assess and manage forest carbon initiatives in both domestic and international contexts. The program is ideal for those seeking to diversify their expertise and contribute to climate action through sustainable forest practices.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Prioritizing Commercial Thinning Quantification of Growth and Competition with High-Density Drone Laser Scanning

    This document introduces a method for prioritizing commercial thinning in forests by integrating high-density drone laser scanning (DLS) data with tree-ring measurements. This research uses DLS to quantify individual tree growth and competition, spec...
    This document introduces a method for prioritizing commercial thinning in forests by integrating high-density drone laser scanning (DLS) data with tree-ring measurements. This research uses DLS to quantify individual tree growth and competition, specifically identifying that crown volume is the strongest predictor of recent basal area growth. This innovative approach allows for the creation of detailed spatial maps, including a new "growth competition index," which can guide forest managers in optimizing thinning strategies across large areas, moving beyond traditional stand-level assessments to a more precise, intra-stand management. The study emphasizes how this technology provides timely, fine-scale information to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of silvicultural practices, particularly commercial thinning.
  • Peer-Reviewed Literature

    Canadian Forests Are More Conducive to High-Severity Fires in Recent Decades

    This paper investigates the factors influencing wildfire burn severity across Canada. Using statistical models applied to environmental data from 1981 to 2020, the authors identify fuel aridity as the most significant driver of how severely forests b...
    This paper investigates the factors influencing wildfire burn severity across Canada. Using statistical models applied to environmental data from 1981 to 2020, the authors identify fuel aridity as the most significant driver of how severely forests burn. Their analysis reveals that northern regions and summer months are particularly prone to high-severity fires, and they found a concerning trend of increasingly favorable conditions for severe burning in recent decades, particularly in spring and autumn. The study concludes that changing climates are making Canadian forests more susceptible to intense fires, highlighting the need for improved fire management and preparedness strategies.
  • Presentation Slides

    Alternative silvicultural systems (MASS) and variable retention (VRAM) research

    This document summarizes key findings from two long-term silvicultural research initiatives: the Montane Alternative Silvicultural Systems study and the Variable Retention Adaptive Management experiments. The MASS study, spanning 25 years, compared...
    This document summarizes key findings from two long-term silvicultural research initiatives: the Montane Alternative Silvicultural Systems study and the Variable Retention Adaptive Management experiments. The MASS study, spanning 25 years, compared clearcutting to various alternative methods, revealing that tree growth was best in clearcuts, though other methods offered biodiversity benefits and paved the way for variable retention. The VRAM research explored different retention strategies, identifying windthrow as a significant challenge and demonstrating that retention provides crucial life-boating habitat for various species, with the amount, aggregation, and size of retained areas being critical factors. The research highlights that while increased canopy retention and dispersion can impact tree growth, these alternative systems offer important ecological advantages, particularly for understory vegetation and diverse species.
  • Community of Practice

    Malcolm Knapp Research Forest

    The Malcolm Knapp Research Forest mission is to provide a world class environment for research and education in forestry and allied sciences. It is located near Maple Ridge and is close enough to UBC campus for students to visit for field trips or pr...
    The Malcolm Knapp Research Forest mission is to provide a world class environment for research and education in forestry and allied sciences. It is located near Maple Ridge and is close enough to UBC campus for students to visit for field trips or project work. The UBC Malcolm Knapp Research Forest has a thriving research community which includes professional researchers and students from several UBC faculties, from Simon Fraser University, from BC's provincial government, and from the Canadian federal government. Since the establishment of the Research Forest, over 900 research projects have been initiated on the land-base, and more than 100 of these are still active. Many of these active projects are long-term in nature, spanning close to 50 years and including some of the most extensive datasets in western North America. While the majority of the projects focus on different aspects of forestry and forest management, several of the more recent projects touch on other, unrelated fields, such as astronomy and forensic entomology. The last 10 years has seen a shift in the focus of forestry research, from projects looking predominantly at maximizing growth and yield in managed forests, to projects which are more concerned with measuring impacts of different forest practices on the ecology of our forests. Studies of growth and yield continue, however, and these projects include some of the longest datasets the research forest has. For a full list of research projects being pursued at the Research Forest, please check the Research Projects Database found at https://rpd.forestry.ubc.ca/auth
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