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Uncertainty in Adaptation to Climate Change in Forest Management
This report explores the challenges of forest management planning in British Columbia under the uncertainty of climate change. Recognizing that no single climate change prediction is definitive, the authors develop a conceptual framework using a robu...This report explores the challenges of forest management planning in British Columbia under the uncertainty of climate change. Recognizing that no single climate change prediction is definitive, the authors develop a conceptual framework using a robustness approach. Instead of seeking an optimal plan for a specific future, they aim to identify good-enough plans that perform reasonably well across a range of potential climate scenarios. The study uses the Quesnel Timber Supply Area as a case study, focusing on balancing timber supply and tree species diversity goals through multi-criteria decision analysis, considering both a status quo and an adaptation-focused forest renewal option. -
The Economic Feasibility of Commercial Thinning in Second Growth Forests on the British Columbia Coast
This document investigates the economic viability of commercial thinning in second-growth forests on British Columbia's coast. Using the TIPSY 4.2 modeling software, the author simulates various scenarios by inputting existing forest data and economi...This document investigates the economic viability of commercial thinning in second-growth forests on British Columbia's coast. Using the TIPSY 4.2 modeling software, the author simulates various scenarios by inputting existing forest data and economic variables to predict stand yields and financial outcomes. While acknowledging the environmental and silvicultural benefits of commercial thinning (like improving stand quality, accelerating wood volume, and enhancing biodiversity) the study's initial findings suggest that, under current conditions, commercial thinning is not economically feasible. However, it also explores the potential for future use, considering factors such as different thinning intensities, harvesting methods, and the impact of government assistance programs.